Our Christmas Holiday 2024 outlook
It's becoming evident that retailers across Australia are already gearing up for the festive season.
Analysing Christmas Interest Trends
To measure public interest in the upcoming holiday season, I turned to Google Trends (www.google.com/trends), a valuable tool, I find for measuring Australian interest over time. The results paint an interesting picture:
- Consistent Interest: Over the past four years, Australian public interest in Christmas-related searches has remained stable.
- Slight Increase: There's a small but noticeable uptick in Christmas-related searches compared to past years.
- Long-Term Stability: Extending the analysis to cover an eight-year period shows little variation, indicating a consistent level of holiday enthusiasm among Australians.
This data shows that despite the current economic conditions, Australians' interest in Christmas celebrations remains constant. For retailers, this presents both opportunities and challenges as we approach the busiest shopping season of the year.
As the holiday season approaches, we must be well-prepared to capitalise on the busiest time of the year. Here is an interesting report
Understanding the 2024 Christmas
Here's what we're seeing:
Consumer Sentiment and Spending Patterns
Cautious Optimism
Despite economic pressures, most (76%) of Australian consumers plan to spend the same or more than in 2023.
Value-Seeking Behaviour
A whopping 70% of shoppers state sales promotions and discounts as the main factor in purchasing.
Early Bird Shopping
55% of Aussie consumers have started their gift shopping by October, indicating your need to be prepared now.
November Peak
63% of consumers plan to complete their Christmas shopping in November, particularly late November.
Black Friday Boom
Black Friday sales are rapidly increasing in importance in Australia, marking the start of the Christmas shopping season.
Category-Specific Trends Expected for Christmas 2024
Clothing
This category has emerged as the most popular gift choice for 2024, overtaking gift cards and electronics for the first time in nearly a decade
Books
Books are among the top gift choices
Gift Cards:
While no longer the top choice, gift cards remain popular, ranking, but the margins are so low that it might be questionable in this category. Many of my clients tell me they feel it costs them money as people spend more on gift cards than on their products.
Food:
Food spending is expected to dominate the peak season; no matter how times may go up or down, people have to eat.
Electronics
While specific figures aren't provided, electronics appear to have dropped in popularity compared to previous years, no longer being among the top gift choices
Overall, most expect a shift towards more practical gifts.
Toys
One category that is not being discussed but I think is worth looking into is kids, people now are not cutting down on their kids. I think you will find strong interest in toys, look at movie-inspired toys, what about toys like the Barbie Rewind 80s edition Career Girl Doll, Wizarding World Harry Potter Interactive Dobby and Batman Mega Mech Playset. Lego is trending on social media exposure. With the predictions of a hot summer water toys are expected to be popular. Learning toys with educational aspects, particularly those focusing on STEM education, are a priority for many parents
Preparing Your Retail Business for Holiday Success
Your POS System
Your point-of-sale system is the backbone of your holiday operations. Here's how to ensure it's ready:
Hardware Check
Test all POS computers, including backup registers. Ensure proper cabling and network connections. This cannot be stressed too much. Make sure everything works now.
Software Updates
Install any necessary updates to your POS software well in advance. You do not want to experiment over Christmas. It is highly recommended that over Christmas, you do not update your computers.
Strategic Inventory Management
Use your POS system's data to inform your inventory decisions:
Analyse Past Sales
See what sold over last year's Christmas period to identify products that sold in your shop.
Supplier Communication
Discuss expected order volumes with suppliers to avoid shortages.
Seasonal Stock
Ensure adequate stock of holiday decorations, gift sets, and greeting cards.
Financial Planning
Proper financial management is crucial during this high-stakes period:
Budget for Increased Expenses
Plan for higher inventory costs and seasonal staffing.
Cash Flow Projections
Use your POS data to forecast cash flow and plan accordingly.
Step 4: Staff Preparation and Scheduling
A well-prepared team is essential for a smooth holiday season:
Analyse Staffing Needs
Review last year's data to inform this year's staffing levels.
Create Flexible Rosters
Use your POS system's staff management tools to create efficient schedules.
Step 5: Marketing and Promotions
Effective marketing can significantly boost your holiday sales:
Social Media Engagement
Start early with holiday-themed social media content to build excitement.
Store Layout
Plan your product placement to maximise the visibility of holiday items.
Festive Decor
Use holiday signage and decorations to create a cheerful shopping environment.
Prepare for Peak Shopping Events
Be ready for high-volume shopping days:
Black Friday
Ensure you can handle increased transaction volumes.
Extended Hours
Plan for extended store hours during peak shopping.
Holiday Preparation Checklist
Use this comprehensive checklist to ensure you're fully prepared:
- [ ] Update and test all POS hardware and software
- [ ] Review inventory levels and set up automatic reorder points
- [ ] Analyse past sales data to inform stock ordering
- [ ] Communicate with suppliers about expected holiday volumes
- [ ] Plan store layout and product placement for holiday items
- [ ] Review and adjust financial projections for the season
- [ ] Create staff rosters and hire seasonal staff if needed
- [ ] Conduct staff training on POS, customer service, and product knowledge
- [ ] Develop and schedule holiday marketing campaigns
- [ ] Prepare holiday-themed store decorations and signage
- [ ] Consider a gift wrapping services
- [ ] Ensure adequate stock of gift cards and packaging materials
- [ ] Plan for extended store hours during peak shopping periods
My personal view
The holidays are just around the corner. We have to shine. I've seen firsthand how a well-used POS system can turn a good season into a great one. It's not just about ringing up sales - it's your secret weapon for managing stock, keeping your team on track, and creating a shop that customers love. Trust me, your POS is more innovative than you think - use it to make your life easier and your business stronger this Christmas.